Last week we published a post describing the introduction of our first token utility, which allows COFI holders to stake 25k tokens for access to the CoinFi Trading Signals beta. It’s been exciting to see users staking their COFI tokens in order to get access: In fact, COFI stakers are now collectively the 11th largest holder of COFI tokens on the blockchain! As of this writing, beta users have staked 2,960,622.9548 COFI tokens for early access to CoinFi Trading Signals, which is 1.685% of the circulating supply of COFI. The tagline for our signals is “Professional trading signals backed by data science”, so this month we thought we’d share some of the data science underlying these trading signals.
Here is a snapshot of top % gainers from the last 24 hours*, along with the market moving news surfaced by CoinFi News and vetted by CoinFi analysts. [table id=1 /] Was this information valuable to you? Do you want to see real-time market moving news analysis integrated into CoinFi News? If so, leave a comment below explaining why you need this feature and we'll give it priority. *We filter out coins with less than $200,000 volume, low quality projects, and non-english news sources.
It’s the hottest exchange in town, and you’ve likely never heard of it. It currently has the highest transaction volume in the world, and it’s not even listed on CoinMarketCap.com.
The Rise of FCoinFCoin, the China based exchange set up by the former CTO of Huobi, Zhang Jian began trading in early May. It has seen a meteoric surge in volume over the last two weeks. None of this is captured yet by major data outlets, since most of them such as Coinmarketcap.com have yet to add their data feed to their sites. And it truly is meteoric. You can see for yourself from a snapshot of last 24 hour $volume traded from their website below.
Previously, we’ve analyzed crypto exchange tokens using the TVEV ratio - token value / exchange volume . The TVEV ratio compares the price of an exchange token to the traded volume on the underlying exchange. Conceptually, it’s not too far away from the P/E ratio which is often used when valuing equities. After our last post, many of you reached out and asked us to analyze a wider array of exchange tokens, beyond just Binance Coin, Huobi Token, and KuCoin Shares. So, in this post we’ll have a broader look at centralized exchange tokens. If you’re waiting for our analysis on decentralized tokens (such as 0x, Bancor, and Kyber), do not despair - we’ll share that one soon as well.
In a previous CoinFi research analysis written by our very own Chief Data Scientist Alex Svanevik, we compared various exchange tokens using TVEV ratio, discovering that there is a simple model we could use to assess whether or not an exchange token is priced fairly in relation to other exchange tokens. In this post, we will attempt to value the Binance exchange token (BNB coin) from a cash flow perspective. The reasons for CoinFi’s fascination with exchange tokens are:
- The utility/token economics are generally well defined, making them easy to understand and value.
- Exchange tokens as a whole (especially Binance) have been widely used, circulated, and battle tested. Several of them have even had a series of buybacks.
- Despite the recent sell-off in crypto, exchange tokens have held up quite well, as shown in the graph below.
We’ll soon be launching the CoinFi News feature, where you can be the first to know the news that moves the crypto market. While we’re still busy putting everything in place for the launch, we thought we’d give you some insights from the data that underlies our News feed. In this post, we’ll look at:
- Which coins are mentioned the most in the CoinFi News feed?
- What are some coins that have been experiencing an increase in mentions lately?
- How does number of news mentions correlate with trading metrics, in particular transaction volume?
In many ways, exchange tokens are among the most straightforward token models out there. The Binance Coin (BNB) gives you a 50% discount on your Binance transaction fees. To compare this with something a bit more tangible, many cities have a pretty similar system for public transportation. Buy a card with 10 metro rides up front and you’ll get a 10% discount. The most obvious difference between your metro card and BNB tokens in your wallet is that BNBs have a capped total supply.
Bytecoin (BCN) listed on Binance (BNB) yesterday - arguably the leading exchange in the world, and the price & volume effect was staggering. In a day where Bitcoin (BTC) traded in a 2.7% range, the action in BCN was certainly a stark contrast. Prior to the listing, BCN was hovering around $0.007 (0.7 cents), which implied a market cap of $1.28 billion based on the coin supply of 183.88 billion. And when the listing started, the price went bananas, as you can see in the Binance market chart below.
One of the beautiful things about Ethereum is that every single transaction happening on its blockchain is open to the world. From a data perspective, this means that there is an abundance of interesting analyses we can perform, and insightful metrics we can calculate from these transactions. In particular, one area that has not yet received much attention yet is token retention - that is, what % of wallets hold onto their tokens over some time. Given the popularity of “HODL”, it’s quite surprising that we haven’t seen many hard metrics on token retention yet (although Dhruve Bansal did perform an excellent piece of analysis on Bitcoin’s “HODL Waves”). After all, the transactional data of ERC20 tokens are readily available for us to study. Dealing with Ethereum data is not exactly plug-and-play, but at CoinFi we ingest these transactions as a part of our data warehouse, allowing for easy access and analysis. But before digging into the data, let’s look at how we define retention.